beyond the headlines.

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As divisions emerge over improving relations with the West, Tehran will become increasingly polarised.

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Despite a weakening economy at home, the Kremlin will continue to focus on foreign policy matters.

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The geopolitical rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran will drive regional developments in 2016.

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As Iran resumes large-scale exports and OPEC fails to limit production, oil will remain cheap in 2016.

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Concerned about developments on its southern border, Turkey will adopt a more assertive stance towards the Syrian and possibly engage in a limited intervention.

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In an election year, the US will face a bold Kremlin, fractious Middle East and assertive China.

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China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea will result in the US trying to craft a regional response.

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While the lifting of sanctions may signal a broader shift in U.S.-Iranian relations, the historically fraught relationship faces many challenges.

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Islam has become the central ideological battle ground in the new Middle Eastern Cold War

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Turkey’s desire for a no fly zone over northern Syria has been frustrated by Russian intervention.