Hundreds of thousands of Iranians took to the streets on Tuesday to mourn the death of former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who died of a heart attack on Sunday. A supporter of current centrist President Hassan Rouhani, Rafsanjani was a regime loyalist, but one who pushed back against the hardline approach adopted by many. As
As elections loom, powerful conservative elements move to slow the pace of change.
As divisions emerge over improving relations with the West, Tehran will become increasingly polarised.
The geopolitical rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran will drive regional developments in 2016.
As Iran resumes large-scale exports and OPEC fails to limit production, oil will remain cheap in 2016.
Concerned about developments on its southern border, Turkey will adopt a more assertive stance towards the Syrian and possibly engage in a limited intervention.